We are living our lives more online and you need to have different ways to capture that.
If you have reason to think that yesterday's forecast went wrong, there is no glory in sticking to it.
In baseball you have terrific data and you can be a lot more creative with it.
Walk rate is probably the area in which a pitcher has the most room to improve, but a rate that high is tough to overcome.
I'm not trying to do anything too tricky.
I don't think you should limit what you read.
I love South American food, and I haven't really been down there. I really need a vacation.
You don't want to treat any one person as oracular.
If there's a major foreign policy event, the President gets on TV, the Congress doesn't.
A lot of things can't be modeled very well.
Precise forecasts masquerade as accurate ones.
Remember, the Congress doesn't get as many opportunities to make an impression with the public.
I have to think about how to not spread myself too thin. It's a really great problem to have.
The problem is that when polls are wrong, they tend to be wrong in the same direction. If they miss in New Hampshire, for instance, they all miss on the same mistake.
Midterm elections can be dreadfully boring, unfortunately.
I have to make sure that I make good choices and that if I put my name on it, it's a high-quality endeavor and that I have time to be a human being.
I actually buy the paper version of The New York Times maybe once or twice a week.
It's a little strange to become a kind of symbol of a whole type of analysis.
A lot of the time nothing happens in a day.
I guess I don't like the people in politics very much, to be blunt.
I think people feel like there are all these things in our lives that we don't really have control over.
I think punditry serves no purpose.
People have different ways of interpreting history.
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