Nate Silver Quotes

Quotes about:

• Distinguishing the signal from the noise requires both scientific knowledge and self-knowledge: the serenity to accept the things we cannot predict, the courage to predict the things we can, and the wisdom to know the difference.

  Nate Silver

  Self, Differences, Serenity

  Nate Silver (2012). “The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail-but Some Don't”, p.309, Penguin

  52 Copy quote

• There's always the risk that there are unknown unknowns.

  Nate Silver

  Risk, Marketing

  32 Copy quote

• The signal is the truth. The noise is what distracts us from the truth.

  Nate Silver

  Marketing, Noise, Signals

  Nate Silver (2012). “The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail-but Some Don't”, p.21, Penguin

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• We're not that much smarter than we used to be, even though we have much more information - and that means the real skill now is learning how to pick out the useful information from all this noise.

  Nate Silver

  Real, Mean, Skills

  19 Copy quote

• Finding patterns is easy in any kind of data-rich environment; that's what mediocre gamblers do. The key is in determining whether the patterns represent signal or noise

  Nate Silver

  Keys, Data, Patterns

  7 Copy quote

• Data scientist is just a sexed up word for statistician.

  Nate Silver

  Data, Data Science, Scientist

  12 Copy quote

• We must become more comfortable with probability and uncertainty.

  Nate Silver

  Marketing, Probability, Comfortable

  Nate Silver (2012). “The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail-but Some Don't”, p.20, Penguin

  16 Copy quote

• When a possibility is unfamiliar to us, we do not even think about it.

  Nate Silver

  Thinking, Investing, Possibility

  Nate Silver (2012). “The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail-but Some Don't”, p.287, Penguin

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• New ideas are sometimes found in the most granular details of a problem where few others bother to look.

  Nate Silver

  Ideas, Marketing, Details

  Nate Silver (2012). “The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail-but Some Don't”, p.76, Penguin

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• Data-driven predictions can succeed-and they can fail. It is when we deny our role in the process that the odds of failure rise. Before we demand more of our data, we need to demand more of ourselves.

  Nate Silver

  Odds, Data, Needs

  Nate Silver (2012). “The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail-but Some Don't”, p.17, Penguin

  9 Copy quote

• Success makes you less intimidated by things.

  Nate Silver

  Marketing, Intimidated

  16 Copy quote

• We need to stop, and admit it: we have a prediction problem. We love to predict things—and we aren’t very good at it.

  Nate Silver

  Needs, Problem, Predictions

  Nate Silver (2012). “The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail-but Some Don't”, p.19, Penguin

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• One of the pervasive risks that we face in the information age, as I wrote in the introduction, is that even if the amount of knowledge in the world is increasing, the gap between what we know and what we think we know may be widening.

  Nate Silver

  Thinking, Risk, Age

  Nate Silver (2012). “The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail-but Some Don't”, p.39, Penguin

  6 Copy quote

• When human judgment and big data intersect there are some funny things that happen

  Nate Silver

  Funny, Data, Judgment

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• Every day, three times per second, we produce the equivalent of the amount of data that the Library of Congress has in it's entire print collection, right? But most of it is like cat videos on YouTube or thirteen-year-olds exchanging text messages about the next 'Twilight' movie.

  Nate Silver

  Movie, Twilight, Cat

  "Biography/ Personal Quotes". www.imdb.com.

  7 Copy quote

• We speak for them. We imbue them with meaning.

  Nate Silver

  Speak

  Nate Silver (2012). “The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail-but Some Don't”, p.17, Penguin

  4 Copy quote

• A lot of news is just entertainment masquerading as news.

  Nate Silver

  News, Entertainment

  "NATE SILVER TO JON STEWART: 'People Are Too Hyper About The Polls'" by Grace Wyler, www.businessinsider.com. October 18, 2012.

  4 Copy quote

• People gravitate toward information that implies a happier outlook for them.

  Nate Silver

  People, Information, Outlook

  4 Copy quote

• Well the way we perceive accuracy and what accuracy is statistically are really two different things.

  Nate Silver

  Two, Different, Way

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• The quest for certainty in forecasting outcomes can be the enemy of progress.

  Nate Silver

  Enemy Of Progress, Quests, Outcomes

  15 Copy quote

• On average, people should be more skeptical when they see numbers. They should be more willing to play around with the data themselves.

  Nate Silver

  Average, Data, Play

  11 Copy quote

• Economy is not baseball, where the game is always played by the same rules.

  Nate Silver

  Baseball, Games, Economy

  Nate Silver (2012). “The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail-but Some Don't”, p.136, Penguin

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• Distinguishing the signal from the noise requires both scientific knowledge and self-knowledge.

  Nate Silver

  Self, Marketing, Noise

  Nate Silver (2012). “The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail-but Some Don't”, p.309, Penguin

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• By playing games you can artificially speed up your learning curve to develop the right kind of thought processes.

  Nate Silver

  Curves, Playing Games, Kind

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• People don't have a good intuitive sense of how to weigh new information in light of what they already know. They tend to overrate it.

  Nate Silver

  Light, People, Information

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