Nate Silver Quotes - Page 3

Quotes about:

• You get steely nerves playing poker.

  Nate Silver

  Nerves

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• Racism is predictable. It's predicted by interaction or lack thereof with people unlike you, people of other races.

  Nate Silver

  Motivation, Inspiration, Race

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• If the state polls are right, then Mr. Obama will win the Electoral College. If you can't acknowledge that after a day when Mr. Obama leads 19 out of 20 swing-state polls, then you should abandon the pretense that your goal is to inform rather than entertain the public.

  Nate Silver

  Winning, College, Swings

  "Nate Silver Took A Huge Shot Against Mainstream Political Pundits In His Latest Election Forecast" by Joe Weisenthal, www.businessinsider.com. November 3, 2012.

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• Any one game in baseball doesn't tell you that much, just as any one poll doesn't tell you that much.

  Nate Silver

  Baseball, Games, Polls

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• I think there's space in the market for a half-dozen kind of polling analysts.

  Nate Silver

  Thinking, Space, Half

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• I think a lot of journal articles should really be blogs.

  Nate Silver

  Thinking, Should, Articles

  Twitter post from Oct 1, 2012

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• I don't think that somebody who is observing or predicting behavior should also be participating in the 'experiment.'

  Nate Silver

  Thinking, Behavior, Should

  "NATE SILVER: As Tempting As It Would Be To 'Drop The Mic' And Leave A Winner, I'll Be Back In 2014 And 2016" by Walter Hickey, www.businessinsider.com. November 14, 2012.

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• Every four years in the presidential election, some new precedent is broken.

  Nate Silver

  Years, Broken, Presidential

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• Caesar recognized the omens, but he didn't believe they applied to him.

  Nate Silver

  Believe, Omen

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• Basically, books were a luxury item before the printing press.

  Nate Silver

  Book, Luxury, Printing

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• Almost everyone's instinct is to be overconfident and read way too much into a hot or cold streak.

  Nate Silver

  Hot, Too Much, Way

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• When you get into statistical analysis, you don't really expect to achieve fame. Or to become an Internet meme. Or be parodied by 'The Onion' - or be the subject of a cartoon in 'The New Yorker.' I guess I'm kind of an outlier there.

  Nate Silver

  Cartoon, Analysis, Onions

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• I've just always been a bit of a dork.

  Nate Silver

  Dork, Bits

  "Nate Silver: it's the numbers, stupid" by Carole Cadwalladr, www.theguardian.com. November 17, 2012.

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• Race is still the No. 1 determinant in every election.

  Nate Silver

  Race, Election, Stills

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• A lot of journalism wants to have what they call objectivity without them having a commitment to pursuing the truth, but that doesn't work. Objectivity requires belief in and a commitment toward pursuing the truth - having an object outside of our personal point of view.

  Nate Silver

  Commitment, Views, Objectivity

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• I view my role now as providing more of a macro-level skepticism, rather than saying this poll is good or this poll is evil.

  Nate Silver

  Views, Evil, Roles

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• I've become invested with this symbolic power. It really does transcend what I'm actually doing and what I actually deserve.

  Nate Silver

  Doe, Symbolic, Deserve

  "Nate Silver: it's the numbers, stupid" by Carole Cadwalladr, www.theguardian.com. November 17, 2012.

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• We want to get 80%-85% of predictions right, not 100%. Or else we calibrated our estimates in the wrong way.

  Nate Silver

  Want, Way, Predictions

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• Actually, one of the better indicators historically of how well the stock market will do is just a Gallup poll, when you ask Americans if you think it's a good time to invest in stocks, except it goes the opposite direction of what you would expect. When the markets going up, it in fact makes it more prone toward decline.

  Nate Silver

  Thinking, Opposites, Facts

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• I prefer more to kind of show people different things than tell them 'oh, here's what you should believe' and, over time, you can build up a rapport with your audience.

  Nate Silver

  Believe, People, Different

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• The thing that people associate with expertise, authoritativeness, kind of with a capital 'A,' don't correlate very well with who's actually good at making predictions.

  Nate Silver

  People, Kind, Predictions

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• I don't play fantasy baseball anymore now because it's too much work, and I feel like I have to hold myself up to such a high standard. I'm pretty serious about my fantasy football, though.

  Nate Silver

  Baseball, Football, Play

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• Shakespeare's plays often turn on the idea of fate, as much drama does. What makes them so tragic is the gap between what his characters might like to accomplish and what fate provides them.

  Nate Silver

  Drama, Character, Fate

  Nate Silver (2012). “The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail-but Some Don't”, p.14, Penguin

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• The public is even more pessimistic about the economy than even the most bearish economists are.

  Nate Silver

  Pessimistic, Economy, Economist

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• Plenty of pundits have really high IQs, but they don't have any discipline in how they look at the world, and so it leads to a lot of bullshit, basically.

  Nate Silver

  Discipline, Bullshit, Looks

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