Likelihood Quotes - Page 4

• I think we may very well, in many areas, get likelihood, but not certitude. We don't want certitude anyway, do we?

  Frank Moore Cross

  Thinking, May, Want

  Source: www.biblicalarchaeology.org

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• Change is a process which has to be managed. If it's managed and managed well in the interest of the nation and the people, the likelihood is that it will end well.

  Kofi Annan

  People, Ends, Process

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• The size of the U.S. middle class has been shrinking. Wages have been stagnant. We don't have those factory jobs that paid a living wage and enabled a family to have a home where the wife did not have to work. But we sent our factories abroad and there is no likelihood of getting them back. Equally worrisome is that some managerial jobs and professional jobs (such as lawyers) which support middle class life are threatened by automation.

  Philip Kotler

  Jobs, Home, Class

  Source: bobmorris.biz

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• The likelihood is that any English-speaking skier has more words for different types of snow than any inhabitant of Alaska or Greenland.

  Larry Trask

  Alaska, Snow, Different

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• Both we and the Soviets face the common threat of nuclear destruction and there is no likelihood that either capitalism or communism will survive a nuclear war.

  John Kenneth Galbraith

  War, Faces, Nuclear

  "The Ashes of Capitalism and the Ashes of Communism". "Quest for Peace: an Introduction". Book edited by John M. Whiteley, 1986.

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• The more men believe an idea to be true the greater the likelihood that the idea is mistaken. Those who are right usually stand alone.

  Soren Kierkegaard

  Believe, Men, Ideas

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• Revenge tries to solve the problem of vulnerability. If I strike back, I transfer vulnerability from myself to the other. And yet by striking back I produce a world in which my vulnerability to injury is increased by the likelihood of another strike. So it seems as if I'm getting rid of my vulnerability and instead locating it with the other, but actually I'm heightening the vulnerability of everyone and I'm heightening the possibility of violence that happens between us.

  Judith Butler

  Revenge, Trying, Violence

  Source: www.believermag.com

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• If someone is difficult to talk to, if someone cannot communicate clearly, it's a real problem in terms of their likelihood to work out.

  Sam Altman

  Team, Real, Work Out

  "Lecture 2: Ideas, Products, Teams and Execution Part II". Sam Altman's "How To Start a Startup" lecture to the class at Stanford University in Stanford, California, genius.com. 2014.

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• Don't decide that you're going to be a writer or musician and just expect it to happen because it's a big gamble and a lot less predictable than a conventional job. But you do increase the likelihood of success by working as hard as you can and holding yourself to the highest standard you can muster.

  Max Bemis

  Jobs, Musician, Increase

  Source: blog.seagate.com

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• The likelihood of getting lost is directly proportional to the number of times the direction-giver says, 'You can't miss it'.

  Hal Roach

  Funny, Travel, Numbers

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• It drives me crazy to do readings of my books, because if I read anything I've written in the past, I'd like to almost rewrite everything. If I could, I'd completely rewrite Fargo Rock City, and every sentence would be just slightly different. In all likelihood, most of them wouldn't be any better. Some of them would just be changed back to whatever form they used to be, before I second-guessed myself the first time.

  Chuck Klosterman

  Crazy, Book, Reading

  Interview with Noel Murray, www.avclub.com. November 15, 2006.

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• There is no likelihood of our being able to suppress humanity's aggressive tendencies... Complete suppression of man's aggressive tendencies is not an issue; what we may try is to direct it into a channel other than that of warfare.

  Sigmund Freud

  Men, Issues, Humanity

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• The one element that stands out most clearly among our peak performers is their virtually unassailable belief in the likelihood of their own success.

  Charles Garfield

  Elements, Belief, Standing Out

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• I would define independent film as a movie that is not financed by any of the smaller film companies. Because then, those are movies that in all likelihood are made without stars. And then they have to rely just on the material.

  Steven Shainberg

  Stars, Independent, Film

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• Reducing the thinking required to take the next action increases the likelihood of the desired behavior occurring unconsciously.

  Nir Eyal

  Thinking, Next, Action

  Nir Eyal (2014). “Hooked: How to Build Habit-Forming Products”, p.30, Penguin

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• Companies leverage two basic pulleys of human behavior to increase the likelihood of an action occuring: the ease of performing an action and the psychological motivation to do it.

  Nir Eyal

  Motivation, Two, Ease

  Nir Eyal (2014). “Hooked: How to Build Habit-Forming Products”, p.9, Penguin

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• But the thing is if you've got an hour to sit down in front of a television, then the likelihood is that you've probably got two hours. So why wouldn't you, if you're enjoying it not want to watch the other one? And so, this is the future. Ten episodes at once is what everyone wants, and then it's up to you how you spread those out

  Christian Cooke

  Two, Watches, Up To You

  Source: www.indiewire.com

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• Like flossing, frequent engagement with a product, especially over a short period of time, increases the likelihood of forming new routines.

  Nir Eyal

  Engagement, Increase, Flossing

  Nir Eyal (2014). “Hooked: How to Build Habit-Forming Products”, p.18, Penguin

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• The 'hard swallow' built into science is this business about the Big Bang. ... This is the notion that the universe, for no reason, sprang from nothing in a single instant. ... Notice that this is the limit test for credulity. . . . It's the limit case for likelihood.

  Terence McKenna

  Limits, Bangs, Tests

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• The language of North Korea is always bombastic. But what has really changed is the acceleration of their nuclear program, the likelihood that they have more and more weapons, and the acceleration of the testing of ballistic missiles in very, very aggressive ways towards Japan.

  Michael Leiter

  Japan, Korea, Nuclear

  Source: abcnews.go.com

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• It could be that our faithlessness is a cowering cowardice born of our very smallness, a massive failure of imagination... If we were to judge nature by common sense or likelihood, we wouldnt believe the world existed.

  Annie Dillard

  Believe, Imagination, Judging

  Annie Dillard (2011). “Pilgrim at Tinker Creek”, p.146, Hymns Ancient and Modern Ltd

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• In the 1980s, there were occasions when it made sense to say, 'it is too difficult to maximize the likelihood function, and besides if we do, it will blow our model out of the water.

  Thomas J. Sargent

  Blow, Water, Made

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• The first and most optimistic response was complete rational expectations econometrics. A rational expectations equilibrium is a likelihood function. Maximize it.

  Thomas J. Sargent

  Optimistic, Expectations, Firsts

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• There was a danger that skeptics and opponents would misread those likelihood ratio tests as rejections of an entire class of models, which of course they were not.

  Thomas J. Sargent

  Class, Rejection, Opponents

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• With Climate Change as a Security Risk, WBGU has compiled a flagship report on an issue that quite rightly is rising rapidly up the international political agenda. The authors pull no punches on the likelihood of increasing tensions and conflicts in a climatically constrained world and spotlight places where possible conflicts may flare up in the 21st century unless climate change is checked. The report makes it clear that climate policy is preventative security policy.

  Achim Steiner

  Flare Up, Issues, Political

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