George E. P. Box Quotes

• All models are approximations. Essentially, all models are wrong, but some are useful. However, the approximate nature of the model must always be borne in mind.

  George E. P. Box

  Science, Mind, Statistics

  George E. P. Box, Norman R. Draper (2007). “Response Surfaces, Mixtures, and Ridge Analyses”, p.414, John Wiley & Sons

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• All models are wrong, but some are useful.

  George E. P. Box

  Knowledge, Math, Science

  George E. P. Box, Norman R. Draper (2007). “Response Surfaces, Mixtures, and Ridge Analyses”, p.414, John Wiley & Sons

  78 Copy quote

• Discovering the unexpected is more important than confirming the known.

  George E. P. Box

  Important, Unexpected, Testers

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• Statisticians, like artists, have the bad habit of falling in love with their models.

  George E. P. Box

  Falling In Love, Artist, Statistics

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• Remember that all models are wrong; the practical question is how wrong do they have to be to not be useful.

  George E. P. Box

  Science, Errors, Remember

  George E. P. Box, Norman R. Draper (2007). “Response Surfaces, Mixtures, and Ridge Analyses”, p.63, John Wiley & Sons

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• The only way to know how a complex system will behave-after you modify it-is to modify it and see how it behaves.

  George E. P. Box

  Way, Behave, Complex Systems

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• Just as the ability to devise simple but evocative models is the signature of the great scientist so overelaboration and overparameterization is often the mark of mediocrity.

  George E. P. Box

  Simple, Signatures, Mediocrity

  "Science and Statistics". Journal of the American Statistical Association, Vol. 71, No. 356, (p. 792), December, 1976.

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• Statistics is, or should be, about scientific investigation and how to do it better, but many statisticians believe it is a branch of mathematics. Now I agree that the physicist, the chemist, the engineer, and the statistician can never know too much mathematics, but their objectives should be better physics, better chemistry, better engineering, and in the case of statistics, better scientific investigation. Whether in any given study this implies more or less mathematics is incidental.

  George E. P. Box

  Believe, Engineering, Branches

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• To find out what happens to a system when you interfere with it you have to interfere with it (not just passively observe it).

  George E. P. Box

  Science, Research, Observation

  George E. P. Box, George C. Tiao (1985). “The collected works of George E.P. Box”, Chapman & Hall/CRC

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• The business of the statistician is to catalyze the scientific learning process.

  George E. P. Box

  Process, Learning Process, Statistician

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• One important idea is that science is a means whereby learning is achieved, not by mere theoretical speculation on the one hand, nor by the undirected accumulation of practical facts on the other, but rather by a motivated iteration between theory and practice.

  George E. P. Box

  Mean, Hands, Practice

  "Science and Statistics". Journal of the American Statistical Association, Vol. 71, No. 356, (p. 791), December, 1976.

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• The old-fashioned idea of a good manager is one who is supposed to know all the answers, can solve every problem himself, and can give appropriate orders to his subordinates to carry out his plans... A good modern manager is like a good coach who leads and encourages his team in never-ending quality improvement.

  George E. P. Box

  Team, Order, Ideas

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• The benefits provided by worker participation are twofold. Quality is improved because of the finding and fixing of a very large number of problems, but also, and perhaps equally important, moral is improved.

  George E. P. Box

  Numbers, Risk, Important

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• The management system which makes only a pretense of valuing employee involvement and encouraging employee empowerment merely breeds cynicism.

  George E. P. Box

  Cynical, Empowerment, Management

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• Management must provide employees with tools that will enable them to do their jobs better, and with encouragement to use these tools. In particular, they must collect data.

  George E. P. Box

  Encouragement, Jobs, Data

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• For the theory-practice iteration to work, the scientist must be, as it were, mentally ambidextrous; fascinated equally on the one hand by possible meanings, theories, and tentative models to be induced from data and the practical reality of the real world, and on the other with the factual implications deducible from tentative theories, models and hypotheses.

  George E. P. Box

  Real, Hands, Practice

  George E. P. Box, George C. Tiao (1985). “The collected works of George E.P. Box”, Chapman & Hall/CRC

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